June 21, 2018—The U.S. automotive aftermarket is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 3.4 percent through 2021, according to the "2018 Joint Channel Forecast Model" produced jointly by the Automotive Aftermarket Suppliers Association (AASA) and the Auto Care Association (ACA).
The 2018 Joint Channel Forecast Model also predicts that the total aftermarket sales will grow from $286 billion in 2017 to $327 billion in 2021, an increase of nearly $41 billion over the four-year period.
"The Joint Channel Forecast shows the continued strength of key aftermarket drivers and the impact of the confident consumers, buoyed by a strong job market and lower personal tax rates," said Bill Long, president and chief operating officer, AASA. "It also shows influences driving evolution in the aftermarket: new and emerging technologies, changes in the distribution model and changes in consumers' expectations for mobility. We are an industry facing a lot of change, but we believe we have the people in the independent aftermarket with the leadership, vision and entrepreneurial spirit to enable us to grow and thrive in our pending era of change and opportunity."
The market sizing and forecast is conducted on behalf of AASA and the Auto Care Association by IHS Markit, the world renowned economic and market information firm. The forecast is based on the U.S. Census Bureau's Economic Census, IMR and Polk data, and proprietary IHS Markit's economic analysis and forecasting models.
